HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:HOT), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the XTRA, rising to highs of €111 and falling to the lows of €98.70. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether HOCHTIEF's current trading price of €99.35 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at HOCHTIEF’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for HOCHTIEF

What's The Opportunity In HOCHTIEF?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. We’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 14.29x is currently trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 13.37x, which means if you buy HOCHTIEF today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe HOCHTIEF should be trading in this range, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since HOCHTIEF’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will HOCHTIEF generate?

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. HOCHTIEF's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 41%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? HOT’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at HOT? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?